Archive for May 2007

Deal or No Deal – is “Big Money” in the Web 2.0 briefcase?

Today is a busy day in the Web 2.0 space with lots of money flowing and rumors substantiated-

  • Everyone is reporting the CBS purchase of Last.fm for $280 million (which follows the recent purchase of Wallstrip for $5 million). As an aside, this could be an interesting purchase, particularly with the recent spat between Viacom (also owned by CBS parent National Amusements) and Google’s YouTube – is that a precursor to where CBS intends to leverage Last.fm? Could we soon see a property emerge that streams CBS and Viacom shows, makes recommendations based on your profile and makes the shows available for purchase?
  • TechCrunch and GigaOM both claim eBay will confirm the rumored Stumbleupon purchase later today. Despite the blogosphere’s confusion on how Stumbleupon fits eBay’s business, I think it’s a smart move and complements eBay perfectly. Here’s a snippet of what I said last time the rumor broke:

    StumbleUpon’s new feature StumbleThru could very well be the feature that pushes eBay to new community-centered heights. Improved searches, randomly discovering auctions based on user preferences, a comment and product rating system, tagging – eBay appears to be purchasing in one fell swoop an entire community of people already enjoying and familiar with the process of rating and commenting on sites who would likely gladly do the same for eBay auctions… eBay could even further expose auctions by offering a “stumble this on eBay” option in browsers and an official eBay widget or “blog this” feature. Amazon has shown us that adding community features is a great way to increase visibility and user-retention; with StumbleUpon, eBay could leapfrog into the community game and improve its existing technology at the same time. It’s a win-win.

    Read the original entry for more.
  • TechCrunch is also reporting the Fox Interactive purchase of both Photobucket and Flektor. I have to admit – this one stumps me a bit. Perhaps the next American Idol will be American Director, featuring a slew of user-contributed video submitted through MySpace. Or perhaps MySpace will move into the video and advertising markets, as it started in the indy music space. They must have some interesting plans up their sleeves.

With all these reports of money flowing through Web 2.0, I barely noticed an article that talks about where the real money is: domaining.

Meet Kevin Ham. Ham owns a portfolio of over 300,000 domain names that, together with other assets, purportedly generates over $70 million a year in revenue. His domains generate money by serving targeted ads to visitors using a practice called “direct navigation” or “direct search” – those of us who, instead of searching Google for wedding shoes, type “weddingshoes” into the browser address bar. The browser automatically attaches .com by default, landing you at weddingshoes.com – which, of course, Ham owns. Ham serves advertisements that look like real links, people click on the ads, and Ham makes money. Multiply that by 300,000 and you’ve got an impressive business model.

With that in mind, I read an interesting article at The Alarm Clock this morning about NameMedia, a company that both maintains a portfolio of domains (which are available for purchase through an in-house marketplace) and provides targeted advertising for domainers. The New York Times reports that

Youssef Squali, an analyst with the investment firm Jefferies & Company, said NameMedia faces stiff competition, “but I see these guys as the front-runner.” Among other things, Mr. Squali said the profit margin at NameMedia was 40 percent — a number that other industry executives said fairly represents the category over all.

“They’re paying nothing to acquire a customer,” he said. “I think the next wave of I.P.O.’s will be around this area.”

The direct navigation market attracted more than $800 million in ads last year, which publishers largely shared with Google and Yahoo. That figure could reach $1.1 billion in 2007, said Jordan Rohan, an analyst with RBC Capital Markets.

40% of $1.1 billion in profit – that’s a lot of money. And Frank Schilling (a big-time domainer himself) says that’s a conservative number – NameMedia could be making as much as 70-80% profit. And it stands to get even better – by leveraging RSS feed aggregation, vidcast content and other consumable information, domainers could turn their cesspools of advertising into information portals, bringing repeat traffic. Repeat traffic! Can you imagine someone choosing to visit an advertising site?

With information becoming more consumable through automatic feeds, advertising being served through more interesting channels, and an impressive profit margin, it’s no wonder NameMedia is being identified as the next big IPO. Throw in some relevant and authoritative-sounding articles served through RSS, scraped user reviews and ratings and a bunch of ads, and you’ve got a money-generating portal people benefit from visiting – Billboards 2.0.

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CNet’s Webware Awards – Vote for your favorite Web 2.0 app

CNet’s Webware has posted a poll where users can vote for their favorite Web 2.0 apps. The apps are split into 10 categories, with 25 apps listed in each category – holy overload, Batman! While the list includes some non-Web 2.0 apps (Internet Explorer!?!? Come on….), it does include some services worth reviewing. I thought I’d start by listing the contestants by category, pick the one I think is the winner, then start reviewing some of the more interesting services. We’ll see if my picks change after taking a hard look at some services I’ve not yet joined.

Webware’s choices are split into the following categories:

Browsing
They’ve included several non-Web 2.0 apps here, including Internet Explorer, Firefox and Opera. I still use Bloglines, but most of the masses seem to have moved on to Netvibes or Google Reader. LeapTag is an interesting project, StumbleUpon seems to have enjoyed a resurgence in popularity, OpenID is gaining traction (but I fail to see why it’s a Web 2.0 app), and Yahoo Pipes is a potentially revolutionary app. This is a tough one, but I’d have to pick Yahoo Pipes.

Communication
Several non-Web 2.0 apps here, along with some heavy-hitters – Gmail, Yahoo Mail, Twitter and Skype are all likely candidates in my book. While there are other interesting projects on the list, like Zimbra, Jaiku and Meebo, they don’t have the popularity of the heavy-hitters. The widget-based platforms like Netvibes and Pageflakes (where’s iGoogle, by the way?) show a lot of promise, but aren’t simple enough to attract non-techies yet. My pick – either Skype or Gmail, although that perplexingly-popular Twitter will probably win.

Community
Not so long ago, this would have been an easy category to narrow down to a short-list between MySpace, Del.icio.us and Digg. With Facebook’s recent re-launch and the resulting exodus from MySpace, that may be a serious contender as well. I’ve used DeviantArt for years and never considered it a Web 2.0 app, but I suppose it does have some of the characteristics. Bebo seems to be picking up steam, and MyBlogLog is gaining popularity after Yahoo announced some upgrades. Other recognizable services, including Ning, LinkedIn, Reddit and Netscape, don’t have the popularity to beat the top three. My pick – Digg.

Data
There’s some pretty innovative stuff here, like Swivel’s data-sharing and exploration tools, and BlinkX’s video search. Most of these services are pretty esoteric though – you’re pretty much guaranteed to be a techie if you know about them, let alone can use them. Popularity and service recognition will be a problem with most of these services – except one. Winner – Google. ’nuff said.

Entertainment
Where the hell is Joost?? It can’t be excluded due to beta status – several other included services are in beta as well. And it can’t be because it’s “not Web 2.0 because you download a client” – they included IE7 for Pete’s sake! This is a weak category – a bunch of game sites, video blogs and party planners. Really, what makes watching Major League Baseball or some dude with a hat-cam Web 2.0? Most entries are neither innovative nor useful; some, like Midomi are innovative but not really useful and others, like Upcoming are useful but not really innovative. ABC and CBS have large audiences to pimp their apps to, but I doubt most members of that TV audience know of or care about this contest. My vote would go for MyPunchBowl for combined usefulness and innovativeness, but the Kevin Rose effect will probably carry Revision 3 for the win.

Media
A lot of ground-breaking services have entered this space – it’s becoming overrun, in fact, with startups concentrating on video and photo sharing and editing. We all know about YouTube, particularly after the buzz surrounding Google’s purchase and Viacom’s lawsuit. Flickr is another popular service with recent buzz. Right behind those two in name recognition are Pandora (who recently announced deals with Sansa, Sprint and Sonos), PhotoBucket (who was recently blocked, permitted and bought by MySpace and now has a Facebook F8 app), Napster (who was insanely popular during the wild-west days of filesharing and has been trying to capitalize on that popularity ever since it turned legit) and Amazon’s UnBox service. Several entries have created apps for Facebook’s new F8 platform, including Photobucket, iLike, Mog, PikNik and Slide. For sheer name recognition, media attention, popularity, Google’s backing and features, my pick goes to YouTube.

Mobile
I have to admit, not only do I not know many of these services, I don’t care to. I recognize cell phones as the next unconquered territory, but I use mine for calls and that’s it. Besides, whatever company signs on with the iPhone will be the next big thing. I see a few interesting entries like Google’s free 411 service (it’s interesting that Jangle’s service is not included in this category), Google Maps Mobile, KushKash (a money-management app that recently received $11M private investing), TellMe (another free 411 service) and Yahoo’s OneSearch. Personally, I think any service that relies on GPS (which I suspect most cell phone users still don’t want to activate) or provides media (music, games, movies, etc) isn’t a good bet just yet – not enough people want to participate in that sort of stuff. Market penetration into this category of consumers requires something useful, practical, easy to use and not requiring a user to install an app on the phone – thus, my pick goes to TellMe.

Productivity and Commerce
Wow, here’s an open field with a lot of strong contenders. Google’s got three entries with Adwords, Calendar and Docs & Spreadsheets. eBay has two entries with eBay and PayPal. Other entries backed with gobs of name recognition and popularity include Amazon, Microsoft Office Live, , Yahoo Calendar and . Even some of the lesser-known services are heavy-hitters in their own right: Zillow and Trulia offer real estate tools and searches; Craigslist has a huge following of people looking for local job listings and classifieds; business apps SalesForce and BaseCamp (which hails from 37signals, known for Ruby on Rails and other business-centric apps); and other Docs-style apps, including Zoho, ThinkFree and EditGrid. One interesting entry has no competitor entries: Farecast, an airfare-comparison app I use quite a bit, but doesn’t have the name recognition of most other entries. This is a tough category to call, and you have to take into account the types of people who will vote for their app-of-choice – business people, for instance, aren’t likely to take the time to vote for Basecamp or Salesforce. Google and eBay may have huge followings and multiple entries, but considering none of the most popular services are advertising the contest on their sites, and taking into account the viral nature of Amazon’s community, my bet’s on Amazon.

Publishing
Is there a Google stone left unturned? Blogger, Feedburner (you did know Google bought them, right?) and Google Analytics all make the list. Adobe’s Flash and Microsoft’s Silverlight (why didn’t Adobe’s Apollo make the cut) round out the big names, and many services known to few non-bloggers (including Vox, Widgetbox, Tumblr and the infamous PayPerPost) vie for eighth place. This category, however, is all about Drupal vs Wordpress – both have large followings, are directly and indirectly advertising the poll to their users (Wordpress is advertising here) and are supported by incredibly viral and loyal communities. Backed by the Wordpress.com community, my money’s on Wordpress.

Reference
Map and local search apps get a strong showing – Ask.com (who has adopted some viral marketing lately), Google, Microsoft and Yahoo all have entries. Venerable IMDb and WebMD are present. Some recent upstarts gaining news also make an appearance, including Geni (family-tree startup by PayPal’s former COO David Sacks, gaining news and funding), Instructables (funded by Tim O’Reilly’s OATV and frequently featured on Lifehacker) and RapLeaf (a reputation tracker who made the first Facebook F8 cut). However, my bet’s on Wikipedia, who should have the recognition beyond web-heads and viral popularity to handily win this category.

Conclusion

There are some interesting entries that definitely deserve a review. It would also be interesting to see a breakdown of entries by owner and funding source – maybe I can throw one together over the next couple of days.

Who are your picks? Tell me in the comments below.

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Upgrading Wordpress

Blogsecurity.net updated their site with a list of known vulnerabilities in each version of Wordpress and some popular plugins. I appreciate this list, and hope it’s regularly updated – knowing this information is important when making the decision to update Wordpress. Seeing there are more issues than the admin XSS vulnerability, I decided I should update now before generating more content.

Having updated Wordpress a few times in the past, I’m familiar with the drill – back up database and my files, deactivate plugins (why is this important?), delete old files and upload new ones, then reactivate Akismet as fast as I can. No problem – until I started changing options. After hitting the Update Options button on the General Options tab, I got a nasty 404 error:

Error 403: Forbidden
You don’t have permissions to access this page. This usually means one of the following:

  • this file and directory permissions make them unavailable from the Internet.
  • .htaccess contains instructions that prevent public access to this file or directory.

Please check file and directory permissions and .htaccess configuration if you are able to do this. Otherwise, request your webmaster to grant you access.

Hesitantly, I modified the permissions for options.php to 777 – no go. I quickly changed them back and headed to Google for an answer, which led me to a posting on mod_security. I recalled my host recently turned on mod_security, so I followed the instructions for creating a new .htaccess file for the wp-admin folder – no more 404.

I have to say again – I appreciate Blogsecurity.net efforts in evangelizing blog security. I think I was a little knee-jerk in reacting before, and am looking forward to more discussion on the survey data and security issues. By the way, someone on slashdot posted how they probably “surveyed” the Wordpress version on blogs:

As a guess, they probably searched Google for the phrase “Powered by WordPress” (in the default template), then pulled the HTML and looked for the following tag in the HEAD segment:
<meta name=”generator” content=”WordPress $version” />

Good point. I’m sure they used something a little more sophisticated than Google, like a spider, but that makes sense. So thanks Blogsecurity.net for giving me the information I needed to decide to update Wordpress and wordpress.org forums for giving me the .htaccess workaround. My update wasn’t painless, but a whole lot less painful than it could have been.

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Wordpress plugin reCAPTCHA – Digitize books while stopping spam

A Lifehacker article today led me to the reCAPTCHA project. This fascinating project creates CAPTCHAs from OCR errors produced while digitizing text, then serves those CAPTCHAs to your site resulting in a seemingly symbiotic process – you prevent comment spam on your site with their CAPTCHA, and they receive assistance from thousands of humans correcting OCR errors. According to reCAPTCHA’s project description,

reCAPTCHA improves the process of digitizing books by sending words that cannot be read by computers to the Web in the form of CAPTCHAs for humans to decipher. More specifically, each word that cannot be read correctly by OCR is placed on an image and used as a CAPTCHA. This is possible because most OCR programs alert you when a word cannot be read correctly.

But if a computer can’t read such a CAPTCHA, how does the system know the correct answer to the puzzle? Here’s how: Each new word that cannot be read correctly by OCR is given to a user in conjunction with another word for which the answer is already known. The user is then asked to read both words. If they solve the one for which the answer is known, the system assumes their answer is correct for the new one. The system then gives the new image to a number of other people to determine, with higher confidence, whether the original answer was correct.

I decided to check out this slick-sounding project. It’s pretty easy to integrate their CAPTCHA plugin into Wordpress:

  1. Sign up for an account at reCAPTCHA – as far as I can tell, the service is free
  2. Register for an API key, one per domain
  3. Download the Wordpress plugin (they have plugins for other applications as well)
  4. Upload, activate and set options for the plugin
  5. Follow the instructions here to insert the CAPTCHA into your comment loop

You can see the results below. The interface is a little confusing – it would be nice if it used a smaller field and smaller widget, perhaps something more like bot-check. Perhaps reCAPTCHA 2.0 will integrate better into existing forms. As it is, it’s still worth the small added confusion to be helping digitize projects like the Internet Archive.

Unless, of course, people stop leaving comments.

After playing with the plugin a little, I noticed the letters are sometimes hard to discern. For instance, I can’t even make a guess as to what the word on the left must be in this one:

recaptcha
Dave says it’s cit.), – good call.

My guess is this widget’s refresh button will get a lot of use.

What do you think – is the interface too confusing? Test it out and tell me in the comments below.

UPDATE-

I decided to disable the plugin – it’s too cumbersome as it exists now, and I don’t want to make visitors work hard to leave comments. I like the idea of the project though, and hope a version 2.0 is in the works. I’ll leave a screenshot up of the plugin interface.

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Wordpress security – is the entire community vulnerable?

I read an interesting article via Slashdot today on recently-launched BlogSecurity.net. The article claims the Wordpress community is vulnerable based solely on the basis of the following:

The following statement was taken from WordPress: None of these [WordPress Versions] are safe to use, except the latest in the 2.0 or 2.1 series, which are both actively maintained.

Currently (at the time of writing this article) the latest stable versions are:

  • WordPress 2.0.10 and
  • WordPress 2.2

This smells of FUD. First off, what does this statement mean?

BlogSecurity incrementally harvested the WordPress software version from 50 blogs

How did BlogSecurity obtain the version information from Wordpress blogs? Which blogs did it select to poll, and what process did it use to select them? Where were these blogs hosted? Those questions, and more, are important to knowing the true impact of Wordpress security flaws and how dangerous they actually are.

Then there’s the issue with defining a “vulnerable” Wordpress installation. The article simply defines old versions of Wordpress carte-blanche vulnerable without providing any information on exactly what vulnerabilities exist. Information on what privileges and access is provided by security flaws, how easy the exploits are to use and other information is pretty important to a claim of a frightening insecurity rampant among an entire community. Additionally, 2.1.3 is defined as insecure by the article because it is replaced by 2.2; however, 2.2 was released only 8 days ago, and provides so many feature updates that I (and probably many others) are waiting before upgrading. If there were important security flaws in 2.1.3, I would expect Wordpress would provide security patches without forcing a feature upgrade.

Don’t get me wrong – articles like this are important, as they raise a more mainstream awareness on security beyond those who constantly read security sites. Frankly, I don’t know enough yet about the specific Wordpress security flaws patched in each version, but as a result of this article I’ll be reviewing them soon. However, basing a security statement of frightening, alarming proportions solely on what version software people are using to drive personal blogs without any further research on what specific security holes exist (and how easy they are to exploit and what privileges or access they give) is, in my opinion, FUD.

The author has promised a new posting “shortly” to address these questions. I’m interested to see what information he has to share, including what version of Wordpress he uses to run his blog.

UPDATE

SecurityFocus has a blurb on the issue, and Matt Mullenweg has joined the conversation. Still no word on how exactly the 50 blogs were selected, what kind of blogs they are, whether they are self-hosted (as opposed to auto-script installed) and how the information was obtained (SecurityFocus refers to it as a survey). With more information and a wider sample size, this could be useful information. As it stands, I still think it’s useless.

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